Friday, January 20, 2017

Conference Championship predictions

Green Bay Packers (10-6) vs Atlanta Falcons (11-5)

Packers come in off a win last week against the Cowboys. The team is riding high on an eight game winning streak. QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 40 touchdowns and just seven interceptions this season and has a passer rating of 104.2. The defense finished the season ranked 11th in takeaways.

Falcons come in off a win last week against the Seahawks. The team is on a five game winning streak. QB Matt Rayn threw 38 touchdowns and seven interceptions in 2016 and has a passer rating of 117.1. The defense finished the season ranked 15th against the run.

Packers lead the series matchup 17-14 and despite the Falcons home field advantage, will get the win on Sunday. Prediction: Packers

Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) vs New England Patriots (14-2)

Steelers come in off a win last week against the Chiefs.QB Ben Roethlisberger has thrown 29 touchdowns and 13 interceptions with a passer rating of 95.4 in 2016. The defense finished 2016 ranked third in yards allowed per game.

Patriots come in off a win last week against the Texans. QB Tom Brady threw for 28 touchdowns and two interceptions in 2016 and finished with a passer rating of 112.2. The defense finished 2016 ranked first in points allowed per game.

Steelers lead the series matchup 15-14 but Patriots will get the win at home on Sunday. Prediction: Patriots

Tuesday, January 10, 2017

Why the NFL should change its views on marijuana

In 2011 I was diagnosed with stage 2 breast cancer. During chemotherapy I was prescribed OxyContin to help deal with the pain from both the chemo drugs and the bone marrow stimulant that caused excruciating pain in my chest and lower back. The drug didn't make the pain go away, rather I was too high to notice I was in pain. When the high would start to wear off the pain would return along with fever, chills, sweating, nausea and vomiting. This was explained to me as withdrawl from the OxyContin and the only thing that would make the symptoms stop was the next dose of OxyContin. After three days of being high and crashing hard, I had enough. I spent two days sick in bed neither eating nor sleeping nor taking my medication. Finally on the third day a friend called and offered to help. He showed up that night with a batch of edibles (marijuana infused baked goods). Upon the first dose I felt the pain slip from my body and the hunger return. I was able to eat food and keep it down for the first time in three days. I slept through the night without pain or nausea. It helped me through the last several months of chemotherapy. Even now cannabidiol (known as CBD oil) helps with my severe migraines that often leave me in so much pain I have to sleep on the bathroom floor. Marijuana does wonders without causing the complications of opiod drugs.

The view on the benefits of marijuana for medicinal purposes have slowly been changing in the United States in the last several years. Marijuana is legal in 33 states and the District of Columbia for medicinal purposes and ten states and the District of Columbia for recreational purposes including several states that host NFL teams. However, the NFL has continued to take a strong stance against the drug. While the league increased its minimum positive testing limit from 15 ng/mL to 35 ng/mL, the limit is still below every other professional sport and a hindrance to players who need the drug in order to live and function normally.

Houston Texans offensive lineman Seantrel Henderson is one such player. Henderson suffers from Crohn's disease, a chronic inflammatory bowel disease that affects the lining of the digestive tract. He had two surgeries to remove parts of his intestines due to the disease. Because of the surgeries, Henderson could not take traditional pain killers as drugs such as Toradol can cause gastrointestinal bleeding. Instead, medicinal marijuana helped Henderson to deal with the pain. Unfortunately, while the NFL has a therapeutic use exemption for the use of Adderall by players with ADHD, the league does not have an exemption for medicinal marijuana use, so in so doing, even for a medically approved reason, Henderson was suspended by the league for 10 games in 2016.

For many years the go to drug for pain management in the NFL was Toradol  While the side effects from Toradol include upset stomach, dizziness, nausea, vomiting and diarrhea the league never studied the long term effects of the drug on players including whether or not the blood thinning properties would cause damage to the brain. In recent years, many teams have switched to stronger more effective pain medications including opioids such as OxyContin, Vicodin and Percocet. However, the use of opioids has brought about a new set of complications.With prolonged use, pain-relieving effects of opioids lessen and pain can become worse causing a player to take higher doses in more frequent intervals. In addition to being less effective, the body can develop dependence on the drug. Opioid dependence causes withdrawal symptoms, which makes it difficult to stop taking them and addiction to the drug occurs. Also, opioids can cause respiratory depression so players run the risk of overdosing.

According to an ESPN story, which published findings by the National Institute on Drug Abuse, retired NFL players misuse opioids at a rate more than four times higher than the general population. 52 percent of the players surveyed admitted to using the drugs during their playing days with 71 percent admitting to abusing them. According to an Associated Press story, a class-action lawsuit being brought by 1,800 former NFL players claim they were encouraged by medical and training staff  of NFL teams to abuse painkillers and continue to play without regard to the long term effects the drugs would have on their health.

With such high risks involved in the use of opioids, the league must look to alternative forms of treatment for pain management. Medicinal marijuana advocates such as former NFL player Eugene Monroe feel that cannabis can be just as effective as the prescription pain medications used by the league today, without the long term adverse effects that those drugs can cause. Monroe, along with Doctors For Cannabis Regulation,  have openly requested that the league reconsider its policy on marijuana. Now is the time for the league to finally make a consideration for it.


Thursday, January 5, 2017

The six head coach openings

Buffalo Bills- Bills made the decision to part ways with both head coach Rex Ryan and defensive coordinator Rob Ryan before the last game of the season. Bills finished 15-17 in the two years under Ryan. The team is looking to unload QB Tyrod Taylor in the offseason to avoid paying his $27.5 million contract in 2017. The new coach will have QBs EJ Manuel and Cardale Jones if the team is able to unload Taylor.

Despite the issue at the quarterback position, the team has a strong rushing game behind running back LeSean McCoy. The run defense however finished ranked 27th so the new defensive coordinator will have issues to address immediately on their defense.  The team will likely hire an offensive minded head coach who can work through the issues at quarterback.

Denver Broncos- Gary Kubiak made the decision to step down from coaching which caught many by surprise. Kubiak is one year removed from winning Super Bowl 50, however, after having continuing health problems, he made the decision that it was best for him to leave coaching. Kubiak had suffered a complex migraine condition back in October which kept him away from the team for a week and a mini-stroke back in 2014 when he was the Texans head coach.

While the coaching opening is a surprise to the organization, the team has already made the decision not to promote any of the coordinators or coaching assistants to head coach which gives the team the opportunity to search outside the organization. The team has the number one ranked passing defense, but the 23rd ranked rushing defense which means the new coach will need to rush issues on the defensive line. On top of the issues on defense, the team will need to fix issues on the offensive line that saw both QB Trevor Siemian and running back C.J. Anderson go down with injuries. The team will also need to draft or sign a running back to backup C.J. Anderson next season. The team finished 8-8 in 2016  because of the lack of a healthy run game and the problems on run defense.With Wade Phillips at defensive coordinator the team needs an offensive minded coach to replace Kubiak.

Jacksonville Jaguars- Jaguars fired head coach Gus Bradley two weeks before the end of the season. The team finished 3-13 in 2016. The team made tremendous strides on defense last offseason and finished ranked seventh overall. There biggest issues were spending too much time on the field at the end of the games because of a week offense. This fell squarely on the shoulders of QB Blake Bortles. Bortles threw 16 interceptions in 2016. Add this to a paltry running game where running backs T.J. Yeldon and Chris Ivory combined for a lowly four touchdowns all season. The team will need to address the quarterback issue this offseason and an offensive minded head coach would be the best decision for the team.

Los Angeles Rams- Rams fired head coach Jeff Fisher after a loss in Week 14. The Rams finished 4-12 in 2016. The team banked on rookie QB Jared Goff. This leaves the team without any first round draft picks in 2017 so will need to make improvements through free agency including re-signing their own key free agents. The team's defense finished ranked sixth overall meaning their biggest issues will be to address their offensive woes. This includes fixing issues at offensive line that left QB Case Keenum injured. With a strong defense, the best decision for the team would be to get an offensive focused head coach who can improve the team without draft picks.

San Diego Chargers- Chargers fired head coach Mike McCoy after the last game of the season. The team finished 5-11 in 2016. With a strong passing game behind QB Philip Rivers and tight ends Antonio Gates and Hunter Henry, the team's biggest needs are on defense. The team finished ranked 18th in total defense in 2016. The team runs a base 3-4 defense that suffered numerous injuries during the season. A defensive minded head coach would be able to parlay the seventh overall draft pick into a defensive player ready to play next season.

San Francisco 49ers- 49ers fired head coach Chip Kelly after the final game of the season. Kelly was the head coach for only one season so his firing came as a surprise to many despite the team's dismal 2-14 record in 2016. The defense finished the season ranked fourth against the run which speaks to the strength of the defensive line but the secondary was often beat on the long pass. The team will also have to make a decision on their QB dilemma. The team will either need to support QB Colin Kaepernick going forward or unload him on a team in need of a QB that has played uneven in the last several seasons. They will also need to decide what to do with QB Blaine Gabbert who played poorly in 2016 and was eventually benched for Kaepernick. The team may need to go in a different direction altogether and draft a QB with the second overall pick they currently hold as well as address the issues at wide receiver if the team makes the decision to release wide receiver Torrey Smith. All this suggests that the team needs to find an offensive minded head coach who can address the numerous issues that currently plague the team.

Wednesday, January 4, 2017

Wild Card Weekend Predictions

Oakland Raiders (12-4) vs Houston Texans (9-7)

Raiders come in off a loss last week to the Broncos. After injuries to QBs Derek Carr and Matt McGloin QB Connor Cook will get the start on Saturday. Cook completed 14 of 21 for 150 yards one touchdown and two interceptions in Week 17. Wide receiver Amari Cooper made 83 receptions for 1,153 yards and five touchdowns on the season. Runnning back Latavius Murray rushed for 788 yards on 195 yards and 12 touchdowns in 2016. The defense ranks 25th against the run and pass.

Texans come in off a loss last week to the Titans. QB Tom Savage is still under concussion protocol so QB Brock Osweiler will get the start on Saturday. Osweiler completed 301 of 510 for 2,957 yards and 15 touchdowns. The defense ranks fifth in yards allowed per game.

Texans lead the series matchup 6-4 but Raiders will get the win on Saturday. Prediction: Raiders

Detroit Lions (9-7) vs Seattle Seahawks (10-5-1)

Lions come in off a loss last week to the Packers. QB Matthew Stafford completed 388 of 594 for 4,327 yards and 24 touchdowns this season. Wide receiver Golden Tate made 91 receptions for 1,077 yards and four touchdowns in 2016.

Seahawks come in off a win last week against the 49ers. QB Russell Wilson completed 353 of 546 for 4,219 yards and 21 touchdowns. The defense ranks second against the run. Running back C.J. Prosise is out for the matchup.

Seahawks lead the series matchup 8-5 and will get the win on Saturday. Prediction: Seahawks

Miami Dolphins (10-6) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5)

Dolphins come in off a loss last week to the Patriots.With QB Ryan Tannehill still healing from a shoulder injury, QB Matt Moore will get the start on Sunday. Moore completed 55 of 87 for 721 yards and eight touchdowns in 2016. Wide receiver Jarvis Landry mad 94 receptions for 1,136 yards and four touchdowns. Running back Jay Ajayi rushed for 1,272 yards on 260 carries and eight touchdowns this season. The defense ranks 10th against the pass.

Steelers come in off a win last week against the Browns. QB Ben Roethlisberger completed 328 of 509 for 3,819 yards and 29 touchdowns in 2016. Wide receiver Antonio Brown made 106 receptions for 1,284 yards and 12 touchdowns this season. Running back Le'Veon Bell rushed for 1,268 yards on 261 carries and seven touchdowns. The defense ranks fifth in rushing yards allowed per game.

The series matchup is tied at 13 games apiece but Steelers will get the win at home on Saturday. Prediction: Steelers

New York Giants (11-5) vs Green Bay Packers (10-6)

Giants come in off a win last week against the Redskins. QB Eli Manning completed 377 of 598 for 4,027 yards and 26 touchdowns in 2016. Wide receiver Odell Beckham made 101 receptions for 1,367 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. The defense ranks 14th in yards allowed per game.

Packers come in off a win last week against the Lions.QB Aaron Rodgers completed 401 of 610 for 4,428 yards and 40 touchdowns in 2016. Wide receiver Jordy Nelson made 97 receptions for 1,257 yards and 14 touchdowns this season. The defense ranks 11th in takeaways.

Packers lead the series matchup 32-26-2 and will get the win at home on Sunday. Prediction: Packers