Friday, September 25, 2009

Week 3 Predictions

Ok so I've been getting request to make weekly predictions..ok this might be a little harder for me to do since I tend to stay busy but I will do my best to stay on top of it and give it my best each week I predict. So here we go:



Cleveland Browns (0-2) vs. Baltimore Ravens (2-0)



Dont so readily dismiss the Browns. They are a pretty good team. Brady Quinn has a great arm and a good knack for getting the ball where it needs to be (for the most part). Josh Cribbs is becoming quite a quality receiver and Jamal Lewis in the backfield is always a threat. That being said they are facing the crushing defense of the Ravens who finished 2008 ranked #2 overall (behind the Steelers) and who are starting off this season in that same form. Joe Flacco in only his 2nd season has become a phenomenal quarterback and the unretirement of Derrick Mason has made him a favorite target of Flacco. They are 2-0 so far and playing at home where they always play their division rivals tough. I'm picking the Ravens.



Washington Redskins (1-1) vs. Detroit Lions (0-2)



Lions jumped out to early lead against the Vikings last week before crumbling and losing 27-13. Stafford's touchdown to Johnson was fantastic and shows the rookie has the capability to get the ball to his #1. Redskins meanwhile have looked downright awful at times on offense. In week 2 they were unable to score a single touchdown and a questionable call to go for a touchdown on 4th down at the end of the game instead of kicking a FG and going up 12-7 left many folks confused. However, the Redskins have a good defense. Can the Lions keep from breaking the tie for 2nd place all time in losses? Unfortunately for them I dont see that happening. I'm picking the Redskins.



Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2) vs. Houston Texans (1-1)



Oh how the mighty have fallen. Jaguars are just 2 years removed from the playoffs and now look rather horrendous. Gurrard seems unable to get to his open receivers and Jones-Drew has not looked like the same back from 2 years ago. They are sputtering badly and looking bad in a very tough division. In the meantime the Texans provided a shocking upset last week against the Titans. Matt Schaub has thrown with some consistency and Chris Brown has become a quality back for them. It is their defense though that has become quite a force. I'd love to see the Jags get their first win but that may be hard against this D. I'm picking the Texans.



San Francisco 49ers (2-0) vs. Minnesota Vikings (2-0)



The battle of the unbeatens. Who is the true contender and who is a pretender? Will this week answer that question? I highly doubt it but 1 of these teams will mark their first L of the season. The 49ers have looked good in their 2 division wins beating the Cardinals in Arizona and a Hasselback-less Seahawks at home. Frank Gore? Wow..where ya been? Glad to see you doing well. Shaun Hill is a quality QB which has been the missing element for them for the last few years. The Vikes...well you cant talk Vikes without talking Adrian Peterson. It is frightening what this child can do to opposing defenses. He may not be an all around back but he is the very definition of RUNNING back. Nothing needs to be said about Brett Favre. He may be a gun slinger and a risk taker at times but the man's passion for the game and throwing ability cannot be denied. This is definitely going to be an interesting game to watch. I'm picking the Vikings.


Atlanta Falcons (2-0) vs New England Patriots (1-1)


The New England Patriots got lucky on a fumble to win their first game of the season. Last week they looked terrible on offense as they were unable to score a single touchdown. Brady on his 1st year back from a season ending injury has not looked like the Brady of old. Not to say that as the season goes on he wont improve but an ACL injury usually takes 2 years to fully recover from so I expect him to struggle a bit this year. Their running game with Kevin Faulk and Laurence Maroney hasnt been quite as explosive as we've seen in the last few years but then they arent getting many opportunities in the red zone. Falcons on the other hand have played superb in their 2 wins so far this season. Matt Ryan in only his 2nd season at QB is proving he has the ability to be the future of this franchise. He throws with consistency and threads the needle to his receivers in coverage. Michael Turner in the backfield has the make-them-miss ability that you want in a great running back. These 2 together are becoming a force in their own right in the NFC South division. Pats at home is hard to pick against though. Hmmm. I'm picking the Falcons.


Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (1-1)


Ahh the Chiefs..somehow this team cannot seem to get it together fully. I never know what to expect from them week to week. Sometimes they look good and sometimes they look downright awful. Regardless the last few years they havent mustered up enough wins to be considered any threat in the AFC West division, typically finishing dead last. Not to say that they are getting blown out. I think Cassell will be fine in Kansas City but it will take some work. The McNabb-less Eagles looked terrible last week but then everyone seems to look bad against the Saints who look nearly unstoppable. Kolb is a proficient quarterback and proved he can get the ball where it needs to be. The question everyone is curious about is will the Eagles play Vick who has become eligible to play his 1st regular season game this week. The Eagles say Kolb will start if McNabb isnt up to starting but whether or not they play Vick remains to be seen. It's possible they will bring him in on some wildcat plays playing as wideout..we'll see. I'm taking the Eagles.

Green Bay Packers (1-1) vs. St. Louis Rams (0-2)

Aaron Rodgers is proving that he is a good quarterback to follow the legend that is Brett Favre. While the Pack plays a bit inconsistent at times, their passing game is fantastic. Donald Driver and Greg Jennings have the speed, strength and good hands to keep the ball moving down the field. Ryan Grant is a strong power runner that can bust one up the middle. Add to it a solid defense and you can see why they are a contender in the NFC North. The Rams on the other hand have been abysmal for the last few years finishing in the bottom 3 last year. Mark Bulger is injury prone and extremely inconsistent. Steven Jackson has not been able to break for any long runs this year, but then his opportunities so far in the red zone have been nearly non existent. I think the Rams can win at home, but I dont think this will be that game. I'm picking the Packers.

New York Giants (2-0) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-2)

Everyone thought with the loss of Plaxico Burress that the Giants would be struggling this year to establish their passing game. Ha..boy did they have everyone fooled! Not only has Eli thrown with great accuracy so far (he was easily rattled last year when his pocket collapsed), but Mario Manningham and Steve Smith have proved that the Giants have moved on from the loss. Smith already has 214 receiving yards and a touchdown this season and Manningham has caught for 208 yards and 2 touchdowns..and this is only 2 weeks into the season! They are going to be a force and definitely dominate the NFC East having already beaten 2 division rivals in their first 2 games. Buccaneers are in a rebuilding period. Raheem Morris is a first year head coach trying to turn the ship around on a team that has been playing up and down since their superbowl appearance. Byron Leftwich has looked good at times and bad at times. The running game with Derrick Ward and Cadillac Williams has been mediocre. Hard to kick a team when they are in the rebuilding phase, but I do feel they are going to struggle this year. I'm picking the Giants.

Tennessee Titans (0-2) vs. New York Jets (2-0)

Hello Mark Sanchez..where have you been all of the Jets life? Who knew the Jets not the Pats would be atop the AFC East division..wow. Mark Sanchez has proved he has a gun for an arm. Jerricho Cotchery has turned into his primary target and has the soft sweet hands to stay that way. Thomas Jones consistently runs up the middle with a breakaway speed able to get him in the endzone (he has 2 TDs already this season). Their D last week looked incredible, keeping New England from scoring a single TD. Amazing. Titans meanwhile have lost some close heartbreakers..in Pittsburgh against the defending Superbowl champs and in the waning minutes at home against Houston. Kerry Collins has kept them in games with his accuracy and ability to get to the open man down the field. Chris Johnson has become an explosive runner right up the middle with a speed that leaves defenders in the dust (he has scored 3 TDs already this season, 2 of them just last week) and proving he is reliable at receiving as well. I think the Titans will get it together and put together a good season, but hard to pick against the Jets at home. This is a toughy here...hmmmm. I'm taking the Jets (only because they are at home).

New Orlean Saints (2-0) vs. Buffalo Bills (1-1)

Can anyone stop the Saints? Wow..have you seen them play? Drew Brees has already thrown for 669 yards and 9 (yes count that NINE) touchdowns and we are only in week 2!! Marques Colston has already caught 3 of those. Mike Bell has run for 229 yards and a touchdown (though he's out for this game) and Reggie Bush has scored 1 as well. The defense has been playing outstanding. Darren Sharper had an interception for a TD last week as the Saints went on to blowout the McNabb-less Eagles. Bills meanwhile are tied for 2nd in their division with the Pats. They lost a last minute heartbreaker due to a fumble at home in week 1 against the Pats and they beat the rebuilding Bucs in Tampa. While T.O. has only caught 1 TD so far he has helped open up their passing game by allowing Lee Evans to get more open down the field. Fred Jackson has 220 yards rushing so far and may break for a long one if his line can open up a hole for him. The Saints right now are just too much for any team to handle...I'm picking the Saints.

Chicago Bears (1-1) vs the Seattle Seahawks (1-1)

The Chicago Bears had a devastating loss to open the 2009 season. Not only did Jay Cutler throw for 4 interceptions, but they lost Brian Urlacher for the season because of a dislocated wrist. However, Bears were able to get it together and muster up a win in week 2 at home against the Steelers. After the disastrous week 1, Cutler threw for 236 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions in Week 2. Johnny Knox had 152 yards on 8 receptions. Matt Forte hasnt quite exploded yet, but has kept his hands on the ball which has kept the offense on the field. Even with the loss of Urlacher the defense stepped up and played well last week. Seahawks meanwhile lost last week against the 49ers in San Francisco and lost Hasselback for atleast 3-6 weeks with a broken rib. The lost may be troubling for them, but Seneca Wallace will have Deion Branch at wideout this week, which may help to open up the field more for him. Carlson has been playing consistent even with Branch out having already scored 2 TDs so far this season and Julius Jones though stuffed up the middle last week is a great running back. However without Hasselback, Seahawks are not the same team. I'm taking the Bears.

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (1-1)

Steelers lost a close one last week in Chicago last week after winning a close one at home against the Titans in week one. Roethlisberger has thrown for 584 yards and 2 TDs but also 3 interceptions in 2 games. He is a gun slinger and a risk taker so certain levels of up and down play is expected with him (you get that with gun slingers). Santonio Holmes has been the leading receiver with 214 yards and a touchdown while Hines Ward has only 160 yards and a fumble so far. Willie Parker hasnt been a factor so far this season but if he stays healthy can be a threat. Bengals in the meantime lost a heartbreaker at home in week 1 on a last second fluke of a play against the Broncos. They came back last week against the Packers in Green Bay to win 31-24 and put them at 1-1 and tied for 2nd in their division behind the Ravens. Carson Palmer plays hot and cold, having thrown for 432 yards and 3 TDs but also 4 interceptions (2 each week). Chad Ochocinco was shut out of the endzone in week 1 but managed to score his 1st TD for the season in Week 2. Cedric Benson didnt score a TD last week but still managed to rattle off 141 yards on 29 rushes. Bengals arent a bad team, they just need to step up more and make the big plays. I'm picking the Steelers.

Denver Broncos (2-0) vs. Oakland Raiders (1-1)

While no one expected the Broncos to start fast out the gate, they have managed to rattle off a 2-0 record. Week 1 was won on a last second play that will most likely go down in NFL lore (good heads up Stokely). Week 2 against the miserable Browns was a blowout (but the Browns look awful so it was expected). Kyle Orton has thrown for 506 yards and 2 TDs with 0 interceptions so while not the gunslinger that Cutler was, he hasnt turned the ball over either. Brandon Marshall may have had some off season and preseason issues with the Broncos, but still played hard in the first 2 weeks. Broncos for years have played running back by committee and Moreno and Buckhalter have kept drives alive (though Moreno is now injured). Broncos defense meanwhile has looked remarkable. Mike Nolan made some moves in the off season and the addition of Brian Dawkins at safety was a good pick up for them adding leadership in the secondary that was sorely needed. Elvis Dumervill at linebacker stepped up last week against the Browns and caught Brady Quinn for 4 sacks. Meanwhile the Raiders have played 2 division rivals with 2 different results. They lost a close one at home against the Chargers and won a close one in Kansas City against the Chiefs. JaMarcus Russell has played extremely awful. His QB rating is only 46.6 and he's only thrown for 317 yards and 1 touchdown while being picked off twice. While JaMarcus has a gun for an arm his accuracy is terrible and he does not have the fundamentals down. He throws with no follow through in his hips sometimes flinging the ball as he leaps causing the ball to go way over the head of his receivers. Darren McFadden did manage however to score a TD last week so he is a bright spot for them on offense. What has kept them in games though is their D. The addition of Richard Seymour at DE and the always reliable Nnamdi Asomugha at corner keeps the Raiders in games even when they struggle to score. The Raiders are always tough for the Broncos in Oakland, but unless JaMarcus gets it together fast, the Raiders are going to have a horrible season. I'm picking the Broncos.

Miami Dolphins (0-2) vs. San Diego Chargers (1-1)

ROAR! Did you hear that sound? That's the sound of the wildcat offense, that the Dolphins played superbly last year. This year it hasnt roared so much as meowed as they've started the season 0-2. They lost to the Falcons in Atlanta in week 1 and lost to the Colts at home in week 2. Chad Pennington has thrown for 359 yards and a touchdown, but also 2 interceptions. Ronnie Brown was stuffed during week 1 against the Falcons but managed to run for 136 yards and 2 TDs last week against the Colts. The team is in a rebuilding phase though so it is going to be a tough season for them. Chargers meanwhile have managed to look both good and ugly at the same time. Against the lowly Raiders they looked pretty good beating them 24-20 in Oakland. Last week they struggled and lost against the tough defense of the Ravens with Rivers throwing for 2 picks and Sproles being held to just 26 yards and no TDs. With L.T. out with an ankle injury Sproles will have to run with the explosiveness that he was known for last season. Can the Dolphins pull out the wildcat offense and beat the Chargers in San Diego. I have to say no. I'm picking the Chargers.

Indianapolis Colts (2-0) vs. Arizona Cardinals (1-1)

Peyton Manning is a remarkable if not downright spectacular quarterback. You cannot deny his throwing ability nor his vision or ability to audible his own plays. He has made the Colts a contender for more than 5 years now. 2 games in and they sit alone atop their division. Manning has thrown for 604 yards and 3 TDs w/ only 1 pick. Tight end Dallas Clark struggled to make catches in week 1 but week 2 had 7 catches for 183 yards and a TD. Reggie Wayne struggled last week against the Dolphins in Miami but has 13 receptions for 199 yards and a TD so far this season. While Addai only has 74 yards and a TD so far the rookie Donald Brown has been a welcome addition to the Colts running game. At the same time Colts D has been playing very well. Dwight Freeney and company have kept opposing offenses from racking up yards or TDs. Cardinals have looked a little soft this season. Week 1 against the 49ers Kurt Warner struggled throwing for just 288 yards and only 1 TD while being picked off twice. Last week however he bounced back against the Jaguars throwing for 2 TDs and no picks and setting a completion record at 92.6% on 24/26 passes. Larry Fitzgerald has 2 TDs and 105 yards receiving over 2 games. Running back Tim Hightower was stopped in week 1 but last week managed to score his first TD of the season. While the D didnt look good in week 1 they managed to turn it around last week and keep them in the game. Much as I'd like to go out on a limb with this pick I just have too much faith in Peyton. I'm picking the Colts.

Carolina Panthers (0-2) vs. Dallas Cowboys (1-1)

Wow what can you say good about the Panthers? Jake Delhomme has looked downright atrocious. Week 1 against the Eagles he threw for not 1, not 2, not 3 but 4 interceptions and 0 TDs. Unbelievable. Week 2 against the Falcons while he managed to throw for 308 yards and a TD, he also threw another pick giving him 5 already this season. DeAngelo Williams has managed to rattle off 116 yards and 2 TDs so far which is a bright spot for them. The D was god awful against the Eagles in week 1 but last week against the Falcons kept them in the game (they only lost by 8). The Cowboys started the season as many forecasters favorite to not only go but to win the superbowl. Week 1 against the Bucs rolling up 34 points made it look like this prediction wasnt far fetched. Week 2 against the Giants proved to be a much tougher contest with Tony Romo throwing 3 picks and costing the Cowboys the game. Despite this though, the Boys only lost by 2 so they can keep games close and competitive even when on the losing end of such contest. Credit their D for that. Marion Barber has 2 TDs and Felix Jones has 1 TD so the running game is solid. I dont think the Panthers are going to have a good season and I dont think they can beat the Cowboys in Dallas. I'm picking the Cowboys.

Ok that's it for this week...we'll see how accurate I am. I dont think I went out on a limb with any of my picks this week but we'll see how well I do.


19 down and still counting..

Week 2 of the new season..wow how I missed football. No offense to the other sports but they dont call me NFL Girl for nothing. I have become quite the fanatic over the years..but enough about me let's get on with the business...

The Detroit Lions...sigh. Wow..what can you say about them? Umm...well let's start with how they ended up in this tragic mess. In 2000 William Clay Ford Sr., the owner of the Lions, decided to hire Matt Millen as his CEO and general manager. Now what Bill Ford saw in Matt Millen no one to this day is quite sure. He had ZERO front office experience or player development knowledge. While he was a decent player and a pretty good commentator, the thought of him being able to make executive and even staffing decisions for a NFL franchise seemed unfathomable.

Fast forward to the next several drafts. Millen made extremely poor draft choices including drafting 4 receivers in 4 straight years which completely baffled most forecasters. The need for players on the defense (which was being scored on at will) or a good quality QB (which they had lacked for years) seemed more pressing. His choices were not only confusing but many were extremely overrated and under talented. The Lions began a downward spiral that only seemed to get progressively worse each season. Lions fans became increasingly angry and frustrated with Millen, begging for his removal. However, despite their pathetic record (31-97 by the end of his 8 years there), ownership stuck by him and even signed him to a contract extension in 2005. Now even I cant explain this..I mean seriously..when do you realize someone is dragging your team to the abyss? During his time there the Lions had a losing season every single year. Despite repeated head coaching changes and player changes, the team continued to lose. Finally at the beginning of the 2008/2009 season ownership had enough and fired Millen. Unfortunately because of the previous bad draft picks, poor trades and free agent losses, the team was a wreck. Millen had left a mess behind and the Lions would suffer greatly because of it.

2008 season...a train wreck for the Lions. The Lions became the only team in the modern era (70s and beyond) other than the 76 Bucaneers to lose every game in a single season and the only one since the NFL switched to a 16 game season. So far they have started this season 0-2 with a pretty tough schedule (they must face the AFC North & NFC West this season as well as their tough divison rivals the Packers, Bears & Vikings) ahead of them. Their 0-19 record going back to the 2007 season is tied for the 2nd worst all time behind the 76 Bucaneers (who went 0-26 in their first 2 seasons in the league).

Now on a bright note (if we can find one in the darkness that is the Lions), Lions have made some personnel shift that may help them to improve dramatically. First they hired Jim Schwartz (Titans former defensive coordinator) and brought him on as head coach. They hired Scott Linehan as their offensive coordinator and Gunther Cunningham as their defensive coordinator. While many of the Lions former draft picks have jumped ship or left the NFL, one good receiver, Calvin Johnson, remains. He is a tall, strong, fast receiver with amazing leaping and catching ability. With the addition of Matthew Stafford at quarterback, the hopes of the Lions rebuilding and becoming a competitive team again seems a little more likely. Despite not winning their 2nd game, they played competively and even jumped out to an early lead over the Vikings. Stafford and Johnson hooked up on several occasions making it clear that they will be a good combination. Will the Lions be able to build on these bright spots? Can they shift from a decade of losing to becoming a competive team again? This is the part that remains to be seen. At this point I think Lions fans would be happy just to get a win or 2. Can they do it and keep from tying or breaking the Bucaneers record of losses? We can always hold out hope.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Michael Crabtree..What is wrong with this child?

NFL Girl is here. Yeah I know it's been a minute but hey give a college student credit. Anyway enough of the chit chat let's jump into it.

Ok..I guess I gotta address the Michael Crabtree situation. The 49ers didnt fair so well in the NFC West last year and so were looking to get a great receiver. I dont think they anticipated Crabtree falling to number 10 (though coming off an injury it isnt totally surprising) and being able to scoop him up. The problem is Crabtree anticipated (as did many forecasters) that he would be picked much earlier potentially as early as #7 by the Raiders. Understood, but the problem is you WEREN'T picked at #7..you were picked at #10. So therefore you shouldnt be making what Heyward-Bey is making because you werent picked at that spot. I'm sorry dude get over it. He feels he should be paid by what he could POTENTIALLY bring to the 49ers; a franchise receiver along the lines of a Larry Fitzgerald. Ok I understand that's what you MIGHT bring them, but that isnt what you ARE bringing them. You should be paid what the #10 pick is paid not what you may or may not bring them. I mean really..what happens if you have a career ending injury in your first game? Then you didnt bring them anything, did you? Now dont get me wrong I understand that in the NFL you want to get every dime you can especially since NFL contracts are not guaranteed so hey why not get every single dime you can, right? Why sign for $20 million when you can sign for $35-$40 million? Fair enough, but here is the problem...right now you are making NO MONEY. Zero, zip, zilch, goose egg, nada. Umm..how exactly does that make sense? You are holding out because of what you THINK you should be making? You are holding out because Mel Kiper and others predicted you go higher than #10, but you didnt..predictions are just that.. PREDICTIONS. It means this is what COULD happen not what WILL or SHOULD happen. Why did Al Davis pick Heyward-Bey instead of you? Why does Al Davis do anything he does? Hell if I had an answer to that I'd play the lottery more! Now mind you if the 49ers were getting blown out every game and it was clear that the lack of a good quality #1 receiver was the reason, then hey your phone would be ringing off the hook as they desperately tried to negotiate with you and your agent. However, the 49ers are 2-0 (and looking quite superb I might add) without you. Umm..this does not bode well for your argument of how desperately they need you and how valuable you are to them. Right now the only person you are hurting is you. Now you may be thinking of JaMarcus Russell a couple of years ago who signed later for more money but the Raiders were playing poorly and in desperate need of a quality quarterback..the 49ers are doing fine without you there so this isnt the same situation at all. Oh and the idea of you sitting out for the whole season and then re-enterting the draft in 2010 in hopes of getting picked higher is laughable. Really dude? Let's think about this for 1 second ok. You were picked 10th..held out because they didnt want to pay you the amount you felt you should make as the #7 pick (which you werent) and the #1 receiver available in the draft...you then sat out for an entire year having never played in the NFL (you arent Vick who has been here before..you are a rookie from Texas Tech..different situation hun). Do you seriously think someone is going to draft you HIGHER?? I dont care what you did in college a year earlier..what you did by sitting out makes you look unreliable, a big diva (translation a big headache), and completely selfish and self serving. Why on earth would ANY team pick you HIGHER?? I mean really...yes you would most likely still get drafted (I mean hell Maurice Clarett got drafted, right?) but higher than 10 after sitting out for a year, never having participated in NFL training camp or games, never getting into NFL condition and you really expect someone will take a chance with their first round pick on you? Wow now that's a serious gamble there. Consider the players that will be coming out next year and you may really want to rethink that. Tell you what..sign for the $20 million they are trying to pay you and if you prove that you are worth more than that in a couple of years, renegotiate the contract. Players do it all the time. Prove to them you are valuable and they will pay you that way. Right now you are costing yourself money. Lots of it. I suggest you get over yourself, stop listening to bad advisors and get into 49ers practice immediately.